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DK Showdown BOS/MIA 9/19/20

With Miami up 2-0, this is a pivotal game for Boston. And let’s go ahead and address what everyone is wanting to know; Hayward’s status. It appears he is questionable for this game, and even if he plays, it will likely be with a minutes restriction. I would avoid him in your lineup for this one, but note that his return will impact others playing time and fantasy production.

So let’s take a look at some captain options.

Bam ($13,800) was outstanding for a second straight game, scoring 46 dk points in game two. I don’t see how Celtics can stop him, so look for him to continue this in game three.

Herro ($10,800) is a nice cheaper option for captain, if that’s how your lineup shakes out. He scored 30.8 dk points in game two, after 40.8 dk points in game one. He just tied Dwayne Wade with a franchise most, 10 straight playoff games with 10+ points as a rookie. Look for him to break this record tonight.

I have no problem with either of those options at captain, and would plug in the other at a utility spot for you. With Hayward’s return looming, I think the player this will impact the most is Brown ($8,600). I wouldn’t pay up for him in this game.

Dragic ($8,200) has been crushing it. He has one game below 30 DK points since the beginning of Aug; ONE. He offers you a solid floor and is a nice guy to plug into your lineup. Game one fo this series he scored 46.8 dk points, and followed up with 36.8 dk points in game two. that is still over 4x value for his salary.

Wannamaker ($4,800) has been a nice play for the first two games of this series, but his salary increased by $2,000 for this one. Steer clear of this play.

Crowder ($6,800) & Theis ($6,200) offer nice floors at their price, likely each going 20+ dk points at a minimum. That offers 3x value, with the upwards of 4x value.

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DK Showdown MIA/BOS 9/17/20

If game one was any indication of how this series will be, buckle it because its going to be a good one!

So where do you go with captain in this contest? Tatum ($15,600) is by far the most expensive option, with Butler ($13,800), Bam ($13,200), and Brown ($12,900) to follow. In a way to construct a balanced lineup, I would target one of the following two players: Dragic ($11,700) or Herro ($10,500). Both went for 40+ dk points in game one. I do think Herro is a slightly more risky play at captain.

So building out the rest of your lineup. If you went with one of the two players I listed to target for captain, I would first make sure you grab the other as your first utility spot: Dragic ($7,800) or Herro ($7,000).

So if you went with those first two plays to start your lineup, you have an average just under $8,000 to fill out the rest of your lineup. Tatum ($10,400) had a GREAT game one, going for 67 dk points. that’s now three straight games at 60+ dk points. Go ahead and lock him in to your lineup. You’ve got a ton of scoring power in your lineup already and still have roughly $7,000 left for the final three spots.

I honestly don’t mind taking a flyer on Wannamaker ($2,800) in this one. He is cheap enough, that you can add two top guys in the lineup. He turned in a great game one going for 33.8 dk points. I don’t think he gets that in this game, but even 10+ dk points I would consider a win for this pick. Plus plugging him in your lineup gives you the ability to pick Butler ($9,200), Bam ($8,800), Brown ($8,600), or Walker ($8,200).

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FD NBA 2 Game Slate 9/15/20

Denver came back to force a game 7 against the Clippers, while game one of the ECF between the Celtics/Heat start tonight. Below are some players to target on this slate:

PG

Goran Dragic – PG ($7,000): Dragic has offered a nice floor (only one game below 30 fd points) throughout the bubble. He should get 5x value , if not 6x. He is logging plenty of minutes, which should provide opportunities to fill up the state sheet. I prefer paying down here versus paying for Murray ($8,400) or Walker ($7,400).

Lou Williams – PG ($5,500): Sweet Lou has the potential to go off on any night; he can fill it up. There is some inherited risk with this play as he has scored 20 or less fd points in 3 of the 6 games of this series. He is logging 20+ mins. I don’t mind plugging him in your lineup at this price.

SG

Gary Harris – SG ($5,700): this may be the riskiest play of the players listed here. Since coming back, he has been logging more minutes but his scoring is inconsistent. I do look for him to get around 18 fd points tonight.

Tyler Herro – SG ($5,000): Herro…what a rookie year. This bubble has been great for him. Look for him to continue what has has been doing. He has been trending in the right direction filling up the stat sheet; this provides a nice floor, even if he has an off not shooting.

SF

Kawhi Leonard – SF ($10,600): Game 7. Expect Kawhi to show up and carry this team tonight, if needed. He has scored above 40 fd points in every game of this series, and game four where he went for 73.7 fd points. I think you could expect 45-55 fd points as a realistic number tonight.

Jae Crowder – SF ($5,100): Jae Crowder scored 29+ fd points in the last four games. I do expect him to regress slightly in this series to 20-25 fd points. That would imply 3.92x – 4.9x value for him. I don’t hate that number. Plus, if you are one for storylines, maybe he looks for a little revenge against his old squad.

PF

Bam Adebayo – ($8,500): Bam had a down game in the final game against Mil, with only 18.2 fd points. Prior to that game, he scored 45+ fd points in 5 of the last 6. I like him to bounce back tonight with a 30+ fd point performance tonight.

Michael Porter Jr. – SF/PF ($5,200): Porter has been up and down for fd points during the playoffs. Once again there is some inherited risk with this play (just as Sweet Lou), but offers the potential to go for upwards of 40 fd points on any given night. I expect his scoring to be around 24 fd points tonight, giving his value around 4.62x.

Centers

Nikola Jokic – C ($10,200): The Joker has been on a tear. He has scored above 48 fd points in all but the first game of this series, with the last game going for 62.3 fd points. If Denver has any chance tonight, their offense will need to go through Jokic. I expect him to have a nice floor of at least 40 fd points again. Consider him a lock tonight if have the room in your budget.

Ivica Zubac – C ($4,700): This is certainly a riskiest play tonight, but provides an option if you pay up at other spots. He is averaging 22.6 fd points over his last three games. He should have a floor of 14+ fd points tonight.

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DK NBA 2 Game Slate 9/15/20

Denver came back to force a game 7 against the Clippers, while game one of the ECF between the Celtics/Heat start tonight. Below are some players to target on this slate:

Guards

Goran Dragic – PG ($7,300): Dragic has offered a nice floor (25 dk points) throughout the bubble. He should get 5x value , if not 6x. He is logging plenty of minutes, which should provide opportunities to fill up the state sheet. I prefer paying down here versus paying for Murray ($8,700) or Walker ($7,700).

Lou Williams – PG/SG ($5,500): Sweet Lou has the potential to go off on any night; he can fill it up. There is some inherited risk with this play as he has scored 20 or less dk points in 3 of the 6 games of this series. He is logging 20+ mins. I don’t mind plugging him in your lineup at this price.

Tyler Herro – SG ($5,400): Herro…what a rookie year. This bubble has been great for him. Look for him to continue what has has been doing. He has scored less than 20 dk points only ONCE since the beginning of August. And he is filling up the stat sheet; this provides a nice floor, even if he has an off not shooting.

Gary Harris – SG ($4,600): this is by far the riskiest play of the guards I listed. Since coming back, he has been logging more minutes but his scoring is inconsistent. I do look for him to get around 20 dk points tonight.

Forwards

Kawhi Leonard – SF ($10,400): Game 7. Expect Kawhi to show up and carry this team tonight, if needed. He has scored above 40 dk points in every game of this series, with three of the games over 53 dk points. I think you could expect 45-55 dk points as a realistic number tonight.

Jae Crowder – PF ($5,800): Jae Crowder scored over 31 dk points in the last four games. I do expect him to regress slightly in this series to 20-30 dk points. That would imply 3.45x – 5.17x value for him. I don’t hate that number. Plus, if you are one for storylines, maybe he looks for a little revenge against his old squad.

Michael Porter Jr. – SF/PF ($5,300): Porter has been up and down for dk points during the playoffs. Once again there is some inherited risk with this play (just as Sweet Lou), but offers the potential to go for 40 dk points on any given night. I expect his scoring to be around 25 dk points tonight, giving his value around 4.72x.

Centers

Nikola Jokic – C ($10,000): The Joker has been on a tear. He has scored above 50 dk points in all but the first game of this series, with three of those above 60 dk points. If Denver has any chance tonight, their offense will need to go through Jokic. I expect him to be 50+ dk points again. Consider him a lock tonight if you are willing to pay up.

Bam Adebayo – ($8,400): Bam had a down game in the final game against Mil, with only 21 dk points. Prior to that game, he scored 43+ dk points in 5 of the last 6. I like him to bounce back tonight with a 30+ dk point performance tonight.

Ivica Zubac – C ($4,800): This is the riskiest play for centers tonight out of those I listed, but provides an option if you pay up at other spots. He is averaging 22.2 dk points over his last three games. He should have a floor of 15+ dk points tonight.

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DK Showdown BOS/TOR 9/3/20

Game 3 of this series, with BOS up 2-0, this is a crucial game for TOR in this series. Pricing didn’t change much compared to game 2.

Kemba saw a slight bump in price ($13,500), while he didn’t have a great game 2 (compared to game 1). On the other hand, Jaylen Brown ($12,600) had a great game 2 and saw no price change. I like targeting Brown as your captain when building for this showdown.

I once again like OG ($6,400) and Gasol ($4,800) at their prices. If you plugged in those three, you have a great base for your lineup and still have an average of $8,733 for the final three spots.

Tatum ($10,400) had a FANTASTIC game 2 where we saw 55 DK points. I don’t mind him, although I do think we can expect his scoring to go down in this game.

Siakam ($9,600) and VanVleet ($9,200) are two players that don’t mind paying up for. With Lowry ($8,800) slightly cheaper with some inherited risk in this play.

At the end of the day, TOR needs to show up big in this game and get the W if they have any chance of winning this series.

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DK Showdown MIA/MIL 9/2/20

Coming off another game one loss in these playoffs, do we see MIL bounce back again in Game 2?

There is no arguing, Giannis is a MUST in your lineup. The question is do you pay up ($19,500) as your captain or take him as a utility ($13,000). Giannis likely has a floor of 45-50 DK points, meaning at a captain spot, that’ll give you 67.5-75 points as a captain. The bad part is the lack of money you’d have remaining ($30,500) for the final 5 spots (avg of $6,100).

The smart, conservative play here is Giannis as a utility spot.

Back to the captain spot. the next four players are all who I would consider: Butler ($15,000), Middleton ($14,700), Bam ($14,100), and Dragic ($12,600).

Butler had an OUTSTANDING Game 1, with 53.5 DK points. for the captain price, I actually would skip him and go with a cheaper play, and get Butler in a utility spot (at only $10,000).Middleton and Bam are the next two on this list, at relatively the same price, it comes down to personal preference. Both have their risks. If MIA tries to force the ball out of Giannis, Middleton could be inline for another big game. and finally, Dragic has been on a great, over the last night games scoring 30+; with game one of this series scoring 44 DK points.

One player I would consider at captain at a cheaper price is Herro at only $9,900 captain price. He only scored 16.8 DK points in Game one, but has been above 20 DK points since the start of the bubble.

A cheap option to plug into the lineup is Wesley Matthews at only $3,600. He scored 14.8 DK points in game one. If we can get the same out of him game two, I’ll take it!

One more player I would consider plugging in is George Hill at $5,000. With Bledsoe marked as a GTD, I like playing Hill either way. Even if Bledsoe does play, he may be limited.

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DK Showdown BOS/TOR 9/1/20

Celtics took game one of this series. It was truly a team effort from the Celtics, with Tatum and Smart both finishing with a team high 21 points. As for Toronto, the team struggled fro the field as a whole.

So where do we go for the captain spot? Tatum is by far the most expensive at $15,000. Followed by three Raptors, Siakam at $13,800, Lowry at $13,500, and VanVleet at $13,200.

I think the answer to who to play at captain comes from one of the next two guys: Kemba at $12,600 or Jaylen Brown at $12,000. Kemba is coming off a nice game one, for DK purposes.

A couple guys I wouldn’t mind targeting below $6,000 is Anunoby ($5,400) and Gasol ($5,000). By taking one (or both), allows you to get some higher priced guys from this showdown. Anunoby has been consistent to say the least; with at least 20 DK points in each of the last 7 games. Gasol is a slightly more risky play but feels like he will get at least 20 DK points tonight.

So if you’ve built your line so far with Kemba, Anunoby, & Gasol, that leaves an average of $9,000 to use for the last three spots. You can grab some studs for the rest. For instance, you could go Tatum ($10,000), Lowry ($9,000) and Brown ($8,000) and have $0 left. If you like VanVleet ($8,800) over Lowry, I don’t mind that sub.

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DK Showdown MEM/POR 8/15/20

Dame is a LOCK. The question is, do you pay up ($18,000) for captain (1.5x) or take the $6,000 discount and plug in as a utility

While Dame will likely be high scorer from this game, I would much rather plug him in a utility spot. So the question is…who do you play at captain?

MORANT = CAPTAIN

Morant is coming off a a triple double game against MIL, where he didn’t shoot well. I will gladly pay $14,700 for a floor of 40 DK points (60 in captain role).

So Morant at caption ($14,700) and Dame in utility ($12,000) leaves you with $23,300 for the remaining four spots. He may be chalky today but Tolliver should get the nod at PF today and at a price of $3,200…I don’t know how you pass that up. Eat the chalk on this one.

That will leave you with $20,100 for the final three spots.

Nurkic ($10,000), McCollum ($8,800), & Valancinuas ($8,600) are the top plays left. All come with some level of risk. Ranking the players in this group in the order I would play them as follows: Valanciunas, McCollum, Nurkic.

Moving to the next tier of players: Anthony ($7,200), Brooks ($6,600), Trent Jr ($6,200), Clarke ($5,800), Whiteside ($5,400), & Anderson ($5,000). Even with Tolliver expected to start, Clarke should play a solid number of minutes. For these price points, I am leaning towards Trent Jr, Anderson, and Clarke.

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